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2024-12-13 05:41:19

Market information: Honda will terminate its autonomous driving partnership with General Motors.On December 10th, 36 stocks hit record highs mainly in transportation equipment, mechanical equipment and other industries. According to statistics, on December 10th, a total of 36 stocks hit record highs, mainly in transportation equipment, mechanical equipment and other industries, including Cyrus, Tuosida, Keli Sensing, Straight Flush, Focus Technology and so on.General Motors (GM): The unmanned business Cruise and GM Technical team will be merged, and the plan is expected to be completed in the first half of 2025. According to the priority of GM's capital allocation, GM will no longer fund Cruise's self-driving taxi development business.


TF Securities: The supply-side reform of cement has gradually entered the second stage, and the industry profits are expected to go out of the relative bottom. According to the TF Securities Research Report, the whole process of the supply-side reform of cement industry can be divided into two steps. In the first step, the effect of "reducing production" was achieved by controlling the new production capacity and promoting peak-shifting production nationwide, and the industry profits were pushed up to a new high in 2019. At present, the cement industry is gradually entering the second stage of supply-side reform, and it is expected to realize the withdrawal of actual production capacity with the help of market-oriented behaviors such as environmental protection, double carbon policy and enterprise merger and reorganization. In the short term, peak-shifting production is still the most effective means to adjust the balance between supply and demand. After entering 2025, with the gradual tightening of the policy of restricting overcapacity, enterprises are forced to withdraw from small and medium-sized production capacity by making up the indicators of overcapacity, and the industry is expected to begin to realize real capacity clearing. In 2027, it will enter the stage of deepening and perfecting carbon trading, and the effect of industry capacity optimization is expected to be further revealed. At present, the profit end of the cement industry has shown signs of stabilization. Under the dual promotion of policy-driven and self-restraint under the growth of corporate profit demands, the profit in the fourth quarter is expected to begin to walk out of the relative bottom. CONCH, Shangfeng Cement, huaxin cement, China Resources Building Materials Technology and Western Cement are recommended.Asian Development Bank: Reduce India's growth forecast from 7.0% to 6.5% in 2024 and from 7.2% to 7.0% in 2025.Everbright Securities: The effect of trade-in subsidy for the whole year is much better than expected. Everbright Securities released a research report saying that the Politburo proposed to implement more relaxed policies, vigorously boost consumption and lead the development of new quality productivity. The intelligent direction of the automobile industry not only conforms to the development tone, but also plays an important role in boosting consumption. At the same time, the industry involves the "two new" themes of large-scale equipment renewal and trade-in of consumer goods, and the bank continues to be optimistic about investment opportunities in the automobile sector driven by favorable policies.


South Korean Finance Minister and US Treasury Secretary Yellen confirmed that they will work closely together.Policy combination boosts confidence, and public offering: China's assets will usher in a further increase in valuation. On December 9, the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. A number of public offerings said that the meeting sent a very positive signal. At present, the economy is resilient, the investor structure is constantly optimized, and the market activity continues to increase. China assets may have an opportunity to raise their valuations again. From the perspective of funds, Jing Shun Great Wall Fund analyzed that the current A-share market is in the most active stage since 2015, and there are many potential bulls in the market. Policy expectations are expected to drive incremental funds into the market, forming a resonance between emotions and funds. (SSE)Japanese manufacturers' confidence index turned negative to the central bank's forecast in December. A short-term survey in Reuters, Japan, found that Japanese manufacturers' business confidence deteriorated further in December due to concerns about US protectionist policies. The survey of 505 large Japanese non-financial enterprises showed that manufacturers' confidence index fell from 5 in November to -1 in December, which was the first time since last February, and the number of pessimists exceeded optimists for the first time in 10 months. The loss of business confidence may cast a shadow over the Bank of Japan's forecast. The Bank of Japan had previously predicted that a steady recovery driven by rising wages and consumption would help inflation reach the 2% target in a sustainable way and justify further interest rate hikes. Many manufacturing industries have reported that business confidence has declined. Among electronic machinery manufacturers, steel and non-ferrous metal manufacturers, pessimists far exceed optimists.

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